Model fit of seasonal time series

ts.seasonal.model(tsdata, x.ord=NULL, tojson=F)

Arguments

tsdata

The input univariate seasonal time series data

x.ord

An integer vector of length 3 specifying the order of the Arima model

tojson

If TRUE the results are returned in json format, default returns a list

Value

A list with the following components:

  • model.summary:

    • ts_model The summary model details returned as Arima object for internal use in ts.analysis function

  • model:

    • ts_model

    • arima.order The Arima order

    • arima.coef A vector of AR, MA and regression coefficients

    • arima.coef.se The standard error of the coefficients

  • residuals_fitted:

    • residuals The residuals of the model (fitted innovations)

    • fitted The model's fitted values

    • time the time of tsdata

    • line The y=0 line

  • compare:

    • variance.coef The matrix of the estimated variance of the coefficients

    • resid.variance The MLE of the innovations variance

    • not.used.obs The number of not used observations for the fitting

    • used.obs the number of used observations for the fitting

    • loglik The maximized log-likelihood (of the differenced data), or the approximation to it used

    • aic The AIC value corresponding to the log-likelihood

    • bic The BIC value corresponding to the log-likelihood

    • aicc The second-order Akaike Information Criterion corresponding to the log-likelihood

Details

Model fit of seasonal time series using arima models of seasonal time series data. The model with the lowest AIC value is selected for forecasts.

See also

ts.analysis, Arima